FinanceUpdated Aug 2026

UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) DCF Valuation

UnitedHealth DCF: $24B TTM FCF, Optum + insurance dual-engine, 8% growth.

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Updated 2026
UNH

Healthcare · Founded 1974 (predecessor) · Beta 0.55

UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Current price: $502.30 · Market cap ≈ $462.1B

UnitedHealth's $24B TTM FCF is supported by the dual-engine of insurance underwriting + Optum services. The $72B net debt is high but manageable given recurring revenue and AAA-equivalent credit profile. Recent policy and litigation headlines have created uncertainty — material to monitor.

DCF Valuation Inputs

M
%

High-growth phase

%

Decay/growth normalization

%

Perpetual (≤ WACC)

%

Must be > terminal growth

M

in millions

Valuation summary

Enterprise Value

$549M

Equity Value

$477M

Per Share

$0

Upside / (Downside)

-100.0%

PV of explicit FCF

$118M

Terminal value

$633M

PV of terminal

$431M

Terminal % of EV

78.5%

Free cash flow projection
YearGrowthFCF ($M)Discount FactorPV ($M)
0base$241.000
18.0%$260.926$24
27.0%$280.857$24
37.0%$300.794$24
47.0%$320.735$23
57.0%$340.681$23
Terminalperpetual$431

Discount factor = 1 / (1 + WACC)ⁿ. Terminal value computed using the Gordon Growth Model: TV = FCF_N × (1 + g) / (WACC − g), then discounted back to present.

Sensitivity: per-share value by WACC × terminal growth
g \ WACC6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0%
1.5%$0$0$0$0$0
2.0%$0$0$0$0$0
2.5%$0$0$0$0$0
3.0%$0$0$0$0$0
3.5%$0$0$0$0$0

Highlighted cell is your current WACC × terminal-growth assumption. Cells beyond WACC ≤ g are undefined (Gordon Growth fails).

UNH DCF: At Default Assumptions

ItemValueNotes
Current price$502.30Market
Intrinsic value (per share)$0.52DCF model output
Upside / (Downside)-99.9%vs current price
Enterprise value$$549MPV of explicit FCF + terminal
Equity value$$477MEV − net debt
Key factOptum services revenue: ~$250B annual

Numbers reflect TTM fundamentals + default DCF assumptions (8.0% WACC, 2.5% terminal growth, 8% Year-1 growth, 7% Years 2+). Use the calculator above to run your own scenario.

UNH Sources & References

DCF models for other large-caps

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Author

Maya Chen, CFA

Chartered Financial Analyst

Independently reviewed

Dr. Aaron Pak, PhD

Doctor of Kinesiology & Public Health

Last reviewed: August 12, 2026 · Next scheduled review: quarterly

Verified accuracy

Cross-checked against authoritative formulas (IRS, NIST, ACM) and updated for 2025/2026 tax years and rates.

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UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) DCF Valuation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price (2026) | CalcCentral