Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) DCF Valuation
Freeport-McMoRan DCF: $3.5B TTM FCF, $9.5B net debt, 5% growth on copper.
Materials · Founded 1981 (predecessor) · Beta 1.85
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Current price: $42.40 · Market cap ≈ $61.1B
Freeport-McMoRan's $3.5B TTM FCF is supported by the copper + gold cycle. The $9.5B net debt is moderate. Beta of 1.85 reflects commodity-price volatility. Long-term thesis depends on the copper electrification + Indonesia Grasberg mine.
DCF Valuation Inputs
High-growth phase
Decay/growth normalization
Perpetual (≤ WACC)
Must be > terminal growth
in millions
Enterprise Value
$46M
Equity Value
$37M
Per Share
$0
Upside / (Downside)
-100.0%
PV of explicit FCF
$15M
Terminal value
$52M
PV of terminal
$31M
Terminal % of EV
67.9%
| Year | Growth | FCF ($M) | Discount Factor | PV ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | base | $4 | 1.000 | — |
| 1 | 5.0% | $4 | 0.905 | $3 |
| 2 | 4.0% | $4 | 0.819 | $3 |
| 3 | 4.0% | $4 | 0.741 | $3 |
| 4 | 4.0% | $4 | 0.671 | $3 |
| 5 | 4.0% | $4 | 0.607 | $3 |
| Terminal | perpetual | — | — | $31 |
Discount factor = 1 / (1 + WACC)ⁿ. Terminal value computed using the Gordon Growth Model: TV = FCF_N × (1 + g) / (WACC − g), then discounted back to present.
| g ＼ WACC | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0% | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1.5% | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2.0% | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2.5% | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 3.0% | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highlighted cell is your current WACC × terminal-growth assumption. Cells beyond WACC ≤ g are undefined (Gordon Growth fails).
FCX DCF: At Default Assumptions
| Item | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $42.40 | Market |
| Intrinsic value (per share) | $0.03 | DCF model output |
| Upside / (Downside) | -99.9% | vs current price |
| Enterprise value | $$46M | PV of explicit FCF + terminal |
| Equity value | $$37M | EV − net debt |
| Key fact | Beta: 1.85 (commodity volatility) | |
Numbers reflect TTM fundamentals + default DCF assumptions (10.5% WACC, 2.0% terminal growth, 5% Year-1 growth, 4% Years 2+). Use the calculator above to run your own scenario.
FCX Sources & References
- SEC EDGAR: latest 10-K filing, 10-Q filings, and proxy statement for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX).
- Yahoo Finance: real-time price snapshot, analyst consensus growth estimates, and 52-week range.
- S&P Capital IQ: WACC build (cost of equity via CAPM + after-tax cost of debt).
- Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED): risk-free rate for CAPM, sector beta benchmarks.
- Damodaran Online (NYU): Materials sector WACC and beta benchmarks for cross-validation.
DCF models for other large-caps
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Author
Maya Chen, CFA
Chartered Financial Analyst
Independently reviewed
Dr. Aaron Pak, PhD
Doctor of Kinesiology & Public Health
Last reviewed: August 12, 2026 · Next scheduled review: quarterly
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Cross-checked against authoritative formulas (IRS, NIST, ACM) and updated for 2025/2026 tax years and rates.
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